19.03.2025 (Wednesday)

Sun Woo Kim (KCL)
19 Mar at 13:30 - 14:30
KCL, Strand - S5.20

We introduce and study the planted directed polymer, in which the path of a random walker is inferred from noisy "images" accumulated at each time step. Formulated as a nonlinear problem of Bayesian inference for a hidden Markov model, this problem is a generalization of the directed polymer problem of statistical physics, coinciding with it in the limit of zero signal to noise. For a one-dimensional walker we present numerical investigations and analytical arguments that no phase transition is present. When formulated on a Cayley tree, methods developed for the directed polymer are used to show that there is a transition with decreasing signal to noise where effective inference becomes impossible, meaning that the average fractional overlap between the inferred and true paths falls from one to zero.

Posted by matteo.tanzi@kcl.ac.uk